California Housing Market Overview

California home prices show a growth of 6.3% YoY as of January 2025. The steady increase in home prices indicates the strength of the housing market. The median home price in California is currently $786,400, and, based on trends from the last 3 years, it’s expected to go beyond $815K in the summer. California house prices remain almost double the national average, which sits at $417,968. Moreover, the number of homes sold has increased only by 1% YoY.

You can also check the competitiveness through median days on the market. Homes in California now spend 53 days on the market before going under contract. This number may drop to as low as 25 days in summer. These metrics collectively indicate changes in the California real estate market’s pace and affordability.

What Does It Mean for Home Buyers and Sellers?
  • If You're a Buyer: Home affordability remains a challenge in California. High median home prices, coupled with high interest rates, can strain your budget. However, you get some negotiation power with the median days on market, which has increased by 8 days YoY. You can plan to buy a house when the competition is low and inventory increases in the months to come.
  • If You're a Seller: Though home sales are in a slump, you have certain metrics in your favor. You can profit from the growing home prices only if the market has high demand. The 6.3% hike in housing prices and an anticipated decrease in the number of days on the market in the summer signal opportunities to earn profits. The wildfires in Los Angeles have caused property values to dip, but the impact seems localized to that area and is expected to fade quickly.

California Housing Supply

Currently, California is witnessing a crisis with homeowners insurance due to the prevalent risk of wildfires and heavy winds. The high mortgage rates may also shrink buying power. However, the available homes for sale inventory grew by 22.8% in January 2025. It’s a trend that typically continues to rise post February and March. This year, the inventory is projected to go beyond 100K. Currently, there are 83,668 California homes available for sale with an average supply of 4 months. New construction will also add to the housing inventory.

What Does It Mean for Home Buyers and Sellers?
  • If You're a Buyer: With a 22.8% increase in housing inventory and a 4-month supply period, you have more inventory options. The number of newly listed homes also grew by 21.4%. But due to high prices and economic depression, sales are slow. You may have to wait a little till home prices become stable. If you see more growth in the inventory level and a dip in the median sale price, you can buy your dream home.
  • If You're a Seller:With 4 months of supply and climbing home prices, you’re in luck. Act fast and sell your home before more supply hits the California real estate market. Rising inventory could lower demand and lead to fewer offers for you. Moreover, despite the high competition in cities like San Diego and Los Angeles, you should still make your home appealing to buyers. Focus on staging and marketing your home effectively.

California Housing Demand

A dense population and high inbound migration trend in California drive the demand for properties up. The percentage of homes selling above the list price is a key indicator of housing demand. When more homes sell above the list price, it shows strong buyer competition and high demand. A decline suggests more supply. Tracking this trend helps you gauge market competitiveness.

In January 2025, 33.3% of California homes sold above the list price, while 20.4% of homes sold below the list price. The number of homes selling above the list price tends to increase in spring and summer. This means that buyer competition will surge, and hot homes will sell within 15-20 days. The current 99.2% sale-to-list price ratio suggests very few negotiation opportunities.

What Does It Mean for Home Buyers and Sellers?
  • If You're a Buyer: The current California housing market has a few metrics that lean in your favor — such as the 20.4% of homes with price drops and increasing inventory. However, expensive properties and high mortgage rates (nearly 7%) could make things tough for you. Go light on negotiations, and don’t expect many seller concessions. You may also have to make any home repairs yourself after closing.
  • If You're a Seller:You'll make a good profit if the market has good demand. With an increase in home prices, limited supply, and a 99.2% sale-to-list price ratio, the negotiation power lies in your hands. However, due to the stagnant market, you will have to wait till summer, when you’ll experience even higher demand and more bidding wars for your home. You can price your home on the higher end, but first, check the pricing of comparable properties in your neighborhood. If mortgage rates continue to increase, it will make high-priced homes less affordable. So, you may have to reduce your price to close the deal faster.

Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Market in California?

Strong
Buyer

Buyer

Balanced

Seller

Strong
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Buyer’s Market

Seller’s Market

Balanced: Neither buyers nor sellers dominate the market. Supply meets demand, prices stay stable, and both parties negotiate on an equal footing.

As of January 2025, it’s a slow and balanced market due to the recent shocks. Home sellers in California may get an advantage with increased prices and a limited supply of homes, but only if the market is active. For buyers, homes are relatively expensive, and competition is high amid growing mortgage rates. The current mortgage rate is close to hitting 7%, which may reduce buying power in the state-wide real estate market. However, a 22.8% growth in housing inventory does provide many options to California home buyers.

These trends vary significantly across the California real estate market. You must check the current growth rate of home prices in your city or locality. Property appreciation in Sacramento is not promising, and it’s been declining for the last 4 months. The average home price in San Jose grew by 11% in January 2025, with a sale-to-list price ratio of 103%. The market in Santa Clara is highly competitive, where hot homes can sell for 16% more than the list price and go pending in just 8 days. So, check local trends in your neighborhood through Houzeo’s housing market chart before you decide to invest.

California Housing Market Insights

The California real estate market is somewhat competitive and currently favors sellers. House prices in California rose at a rapid rate in 2023-24. The average home price in California ($786,400) is way higher than the national median of $417,968. Inventory trends indicate a growing availability of houses in California. Currently, there are 83,668 homes available in the Golden State. Carefully consider the local housing trends before you make a transaction. If you notice an appreciation in prices in recent months, it could be a sign of a seller’s market. On the other hand, buyers will have the upper hand if prices go down or supply increases.

Southern California housing markets like Orange County show high competition; the average home goes under contract in 35 days and gets multiple offers. 34% of homes sold above the list price, and the sale-to-list price ratio of 99.5% also favors sellers. Overall, CA’s housing market shows a constant appreciation in prices. If you want to buy homes in California, you can wait for the prices to drop. If you plan to buy a single-family home, you may have to settle for a condo or a townhouse for affordable prices.

Nationwide Migration Trends

Last year, California residents moved out of the state to relocate to Florida, Georgia, and Idaho. Nearly 700,000 people relocated from the state over the last year due to the high cost of living and housing expenses. The cost of living in California is 38% higher, and housing costs are 97% higher than the national average.

There is also a conspicuous inbound trend, with CA gaining about 420,000 new residents in 2023-24. The new residents primarily came from Arizona, Colorado, and DC. Despite the extremely high housing costs, people are attracted to California’s excellent economy and healthcare.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are home prices going down in California?

Is it a buyer's or seller's market now in California?

What is the average house price in California?

Will the housing market in California crash?

Is it a good time to buy a house in California?

Which is the cheapest place to buy a house in California?

What is the best place to buy a house in California?

How can I list my home for sale in California?

What is the average mortgage rate for buyers in California?

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