Louisiana Real Estate Market: What to Expect in 2024 and 2025?

9 mins read Nov 12, 2024
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The current median home sale price of $259,800 is rising slowly at just 2.0% YoY. Moreover, homes have been sitting on the market for 57 days. This indicates that the real estate market in the Pelican State is now slightly less competitive.

Additionally, only 3,549 homes were sold in July 2024, up from 3,476 in the previous year. Despite the competitive nature of the market, recent developments such as the NAR settlement have caused some concerns among sellers. These are related to the selling prices and agent compensation.

The NAR settlement has removed the buyers’ agent compensation from the MLS. This may drive down home prices further. As a result, buyers will have improved affordability along with low mortgage rates.

Here are some tips for you to sustain in Louisiana’s housing market:

  • If You Are a Home Buyer: With an inventory of 16K properties and the potential for further price drops, now is a good time to buy your new home. The low interest rates at 6.48% are also in your favor. Consider negotiating for seller concessions to further benefit from the purchase.
  • If You Are a Home Seller: The correction in the home prices is long overdue. In the wake of the NAR settlement, home prices may drop a little more. If you’re a seller, you can still make profits on home sale before prices potentially drop.

So, How Is the Real Estate Market in Louisiana?

Balanced!

The number of homes for sale increased by 12.5% in July 2024 compared to the previous year. Single-family homes for sale are up by 12.2%, and condos by 15.2%.

  • Median Days on Market: The median days on market for homes for sale is 57 days, up by 10 days YoY. This trend suggests a cooling demand in the Louisiana real estate market.
  • Housing Inventory and Supply: As a buyer, you have more options now as the housing inventory is up by 12.5%. There are 16K homes for sale in Louisiana, with an average supply of 4 months.
  • Average Home Prices: The median home price in Louisiana is $259,800. But, it is expected to decrease due to a rise in inventory in the latter half of 2024. The sale-to-list price ratio is 97.10%, dropping by 0.28 pt YoY.
  • Home Sales: As per July 2024 data, home sales increased by 2.2% YoY! 3,549 homes were sold, compared to 3,476 last year.
  • Average Rent Prices: Rental costs vary statewide. An average tenant in Lafayette pays $1,116, while the one living in Shreveport pays $1,345. You should check the local rates in your region.
Data Sourced From: Redfin

Louisiana Real Estate Market Statistics

  • Average Home Prices: The average median home price in Louisiana is $242,500, down by 0.78% YoY. In 2024, the median sale price will increase shortly due to LA’s tight inventory.
  • Home Sales: As per January 2024 data, home sales increased by 0.3% YoY! In January 2024, only 2,148 homes were sold, down from 3,536 in January 2023.
  • Average Rent Prices: Rental costs vary statewide. An average tenant in New Orleans pays $1,354, while the one living in Opelousas pays $1,011.
  • Median Days on Market: The median days on the market for homes for sale was 75 days, up by 10 days YoY.
  • Pending Sales: The number of homes for sale increased by 11.1% YoY compared to 2023. Currently, there are ~13,436 homes for sale in Louisiana.
  • Months of Supply: The average month of supply is 5 months. LA’s demand can’t be satiated with the low supply. LA’s house scarcity is worse than the national housing market.

Louisiana Housing Market Predictions 2024

Louisianians have survived the shockwaves of skyrocketing mortgage rates and rising home prices of 2023. Here’s what we predict for Louisiana’s housing market:

  1. Home Sellers Will Return to the Market in 2024: Sellers who chose the sidelines in 2023 will come back. Especially those who can’t avoid new jobs or want to move to a cheap place. Whitney, the analyst who predicted the 2008 financial crisis accurately, has forecasted that baby boomers looking to downsize will also add up to 30 million housing units. Yowaza!
  2. Mortgage Interest Rates Will Stabilize by the 2nd Half of 2024: Mortgage rates hit 7.79% in October 2023, the highest level in 23 years. However, the rate dropped to 7.35% in November due to the softening labor market and slowing economy. Even the annual inflation rate went from 3.7% to 3.2%. We think the rates will remain above 6%, but they will stabilize in the second half.
  3. The Number of Home Buyers Will Rise: The historically high interest rates averted buyers in 2023. But mortgage demand rose after the interest rates lowered to 7.35% in November. The easing inflation and stabilizing rates will bring back house hunters.
  4. Home Prices Will Continue to Rise: Home prices rose steadily in the top metros across LA YoY, reaching $242K in January 2024. Experts predict home prices will continue to rise until the low supply-high demand dynamic changes.
  5. New Home Constructions Sales Will Increase: 12.3% of homes purchased in January were new homes, the highest since 2023. Home builders offered $30,000 worth of concessions to attract buyers in 2023. We think builders and sellers will compete for buyers in 2024.
  6. iBuyers Will Continue to Make Lowball Offers: iBuyers offered 104.1% of market value in 2021. They offered 86% in 2022 and around 70% in 2023. Opendoor and Offerpad have lost billions of dollars in 2023. As they struggle to survive, they will make lowball offers.
Bonus Prediction: Buyer Broker Commissions Will Be Negotiable!

In a shocking turn of events, the jury in Missouri awarded more than $5 billion in damages to the Sitzer-Burnett plaintiffs. This motivated nationwide home sellers to file grievances against NAR’s Cooperative Compensation Rule.

NAR’s Cooperative Compensation Rule or Participation Rule states that listing brokers must offer competitive compensation to buyer agents if they want to list properties on a NAR-affiliated MLS.

Sitzer/Burnett v. NAR

The Bombshell Lawsuit that Could End Buyer Agent Commissions

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Lawsuits like Moehrl, Gibson, Batton, Nosalek, and Batton 2 challenge the Participation Rule. They accuse NAR and other top real estate companies of colluding and conspiring to keep agent commissions high.

If the jury also finds the defendants guilty in these cases, buyer agent compensation may change. Buyer agents may become obsolete by 2025! Phew.

While buyer agents are unlikely to be obsolete in 2024, they may be open to negotiating commissions. That’s probably how they will still have some skin in the game.

When Will the Housing Market Crash in Louisiana?

A housing market crash in the Bayou State is unlikely.

Louisiana’s robust economy, diverse job market, and affordable cost of living will continue to attract businesses and individuals seeking new opportunities.

Denham Springs’ median sale prices have increased by 11.6% YoY, reaching around $240K in 2023. Metairie is the second fastest-growing city in Louisiana, with its median sale price surging 11.3% to nearly $328K.

Louisiana is a haven for several businesses and industries. Several cities offer a variety of fun activities, such as visiting parks, savoring local cuisine, and exploring arts plus entertainment.

Louisiana’s job market is also strong. The unemployment rate is at 3.70%. The average cost of living in Louisiana is about 9% lower than the national average. This means that it is relatively affordable to live in Louisiana compared to other states in the United States. It is unlikely that Louisiana’s housing market would crash anytime soon.

2024: Is It a Buyer’s or Seller’s Market?

2024 will be a terrific market for sellers. (And buyers, too!)

Home prices in Louisiana are rising and will continue to rise till the supply-demand dynamic changes. The number of houses for sale in LA was only 13,436 in January 2024. There is very limited inventory to satiate the demand from house hunters. This also makes it the best time to sell a house in Louisiana.

In fact, after the mortgage rate plummeted from a two-decade-high rate of 8% to 7.8% in January, new listings rose. This shows that those who refused to sell due to mortgage rate lock are finally acclimatizing to 7% rates. Come Spring 2024, more homeowners will follow suit and list properties on Louisiana MLS.

As home listings in Louisiana increase, home shoppers hugging the sidelines will also return. In fact, the recent uptick in mortgage applications shows that buyers are returning.

House hunters who could not find affordable homes in 2023 will also start shopping in 2024. The demand for Louisiana houses will increase – and that’s why sellers may be able to dominate the market.

However, new builds will compete for attention from buyers. Home builders have persuaded buyers to buy new construction homes with mortgage buydowns worth $30K in 2023! Builders will continue offering concessions in 2024, and home sellers may have to wage wars against them.

Listings of new constructions, baby boomers looking to downsize, and desperate home sellers will flood the market in 2024. The properties for sale in Louisiana will increase. So, whether you are looking for a condo in New Orleans or seeking to live in a co-op in Opelousas, you will find your dream home next spring.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation of an offer, or any advice or recommendation. Houzeo doesn’t provide any legal or financial advice. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Houzeo Corp., its affiliates, or its employees. However, the author does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the information’s accuracy or completeness, nor does the author recommend that the attached information serve as the basis of any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions About Louisiana Real Estate Market

When will the housing market crash in Louisiana?

Not for the next few years. Louisiana's housing market will not crash in 2024. Despite 2023's skyrocketing interest payments and soaring home prices, Louisianians have managed to keep the market afloat.

What are the real estate housing market 2024 predictions for Louisiana?

2024 will be a stellar market for Louisianians. Here's our 2024 forecast for Louisiana housing market are: (1) Home sellers will return to the market come Spring 2024. (2) Number of houses for sale will increase (3) Property prices in Louisiana will increase marginally (4) Mortgage rates will stabilize in the latter half of 2024 (5) iBuyers will buy homes for lower than their fair market value. (6) Buyer agent commissions will be negotiable!

Are home prices dropping in Louisiana?

Yes, the property prices in Louisiana were down by 0.78% YOY in January 2024. However, you can still find some of the cheapest places to live in Louisiana. With a 13.7% rise in the past five years, exploring budget-friendly cities is crucial amid the current scarcity of available properties in LA.

Is it a good time to buy a house in Louisiana?

Yes! Currently, there are very few buyers in the market compared to the supply of homes in Louisiana. The soaring interest rates has kept buyers at bay, so you can avoid bidding wars. As the mortgage rate stabilizes in 2024, more buyers will return, so we'd recommend you to buy a house now. If mortgage payments burn a hole in your pocket, you can always refinance.

» Best Time to Buy a House in Louisiana: Find out the best time to buy a Louisiana property & plan your finances accordingly.

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